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	<title>Comments on: House Homeland Homes in on Resilience</title>
	<link>http://www.hlswatch.com/2008/05/07/house-homeland-hones-in-on-resilience/</link>
	<description>News and analysis of critical issues in homeland security today.</description>
	<pubDate>Thu, 21 Aug 2008 17:09:17 +0000</pubDate>
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		<title>By: Jonah Czerwinski</title>
		<link>http://www.hlswatch.com/2008/05/07/house-homeland-hones-in-on-resilience/#comment-104113</link>
		<dc:creator>Jonah Czerwinski</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 08 May 2008 12:55:08 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid>http://www.hlswatch.com/2008/05/07/house-homeland-hones-in-on-resilience/#comment-104113</guid>
		<description>Arnold --

&gt;&gt;For example, you do not include concerns about response in this concept: “Turning victims into patients is important for response, but resilience is different.” Yet your guest poster, Robert Kelly, does: “That is the essence of resilience – the ability to rapidly respond to and recover from a catastrophic event.” 

There is a difference between response/recovery and resilience.  Being resilient should render the ability to respond effectively.  However, rapidly flying in emergency food and water to a hurricane zone to limit the hardship of the victims would be response, while resilience would be building homes less vulnerable to the effects of a hurricane and getting the ports and businesses up and running.  (I should note that my guests on this blog don’t have to agree with me and vice versa.)

&gt;&gt;And Steve Flynn includes it among his “four pillars of resilience” in his recent Foreign Affairs piece: “Second is resourcefulness, which involves skillfully managing a disaster once it unfolds…Ensuring that U.S. society is resourceful means providing adequate resources to the National Guard, the American Red Cross, public health officials, firefighters, emergency-room staffs, and other emergency planners and responders.”

It is important to take Steve’s four factors as a whole anyway.  If you had selected only the third factor -- rapid recovery -- I could see your point that my separation of response and resilience would be problematic.  However, Steve's factors are robustness, resourcefulness, rapid recovery, and the means to absorb new lessons.  Taken together, I think you'd agree that resilience is more than emergency response, but nevertheless dependant on it being executed well.

&gt;&gt;Unfortunately, I think the concept requires a lot of refining. But hopefully these hearings will not be the only cuts at this effort.

I, too, hope these hearings are the beginning of a sustained effort to build in, rather than bolt on, the important capability of resilience.  But the concept of resilience already has been refined to a point that enables action.  First steps would include making resilience a strategic goal as part of such plans as the Quadrennial Homeland Security Review.

To refine this concept further, consider the following parameters:

Resilience should afford a deterrent value: Terrorists are not deterred by fear of retaliation, but by fear of failure.  Resilience delivers a deterrent value by reducing the likelihood that the impact of an intentional attack will transpire. 

Resilience helps to avoid self-inflicted wounds: Resilience -- if done right -- affords the decision maker the enhanced ability to focus response efforts on the part of the system that is actually stressed.

Investments in resilience should be dual use: Investments in resiliency not only address vulnerabilities due to terrorist attacks or natural disasters.  Resilience also facilitates the global flows of trade/travel.

The private sector is an asset first, a target second: This is a critical step toward being able to make the case for private sector engagement.  Several options exist.

Redundancy is not resiliency.  Having costly back-up systems or two of everything is the easy and most expensive way to “bend and not break.”  If done correctly, resiliency is more akin to the concept of Intelligent Immunity we put forth in the latest GMM paper.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Arnold &#8211;</p>
<p>>>For example, you do not include concerns about response in this concept: “Turning victims into patients is important for response, but resilience is different.” Yet your guest poster, Robert Kelly, does: “That is the essence of resilience – the ability to rapidly respond to and recover from a catastrophic event.” </p>
<p>There is a difference between response/recovery and resilience.  Being resilient should render the ability to respond effectively.  However, rapidly flying in emergency food and water to a hurricane zone to limit the hardship of the victims would be response, while resilience would be building homes less vulnerable to the effects of a hurricane and getting the ports and businesses up and running.  (I should note that my guests on this blog don’t have to agree with me and vice versa.)</p>
<p>>>And Steve Flynn includes it among his “four pillars of resilience” in his recent Foreign Affairs piece: “Second is resourcefulness, which involves skillfully managing a disaster once it unfolds…Ensuring that U.S. society is resourceful means providing adequate resources to the National Guard, the American Red Cross, public health officials, firefighters, emergency-room staffs, and other emergency planners and responders.”</p>
<p>It is important to take Steve’s four factors as a whole anyway.  If you had selected only the third factor &#8212; rapid recovery &#8212; I could see your point that my separation of response and resilience would be problematic.  However, Steve&#8217;s factors are robustness, resourcefulness, rapid recovery, and the means to absorb new lessons.  Taken together, I think you&#8217;d agree that resilience is more than emergency response, but nevertheless dependant on it being executed well.</p>
<p>>>Unfortunately, I think the concept requires a lot of refining. But hopefully these hearings will not be the only cuts at this effort.</p>
<p>I, too, hope these hearings are the beginning of a sustained effort to build in, rather than bolt on, the important capability of resilience.  But the concept of resilience already has been refined to a point that enables action.  First steps would include making resilience a strategic goal as part of such plans as the Quadrennial Homeland Security Review.</p>
<p>To refine this concept further, consider the following parameters:</p>
<p>Resilience should afford a deterrent value: Terrorists are not deterred by fear of retaliation, but by fear of failure.  Resilience delivers a deterrent value by reducing the likelihood that the impact of an intentional attack will transpire. </p>
<p>Resilience helps to avoid self-inflicted wounds: Resilience &#8212; if done right &#8212; affords the decision maker the enhanced ability to focus response efforts on the part of the system that is actually stressed.</p>
<p>Investments in resilience should be dual use: Investments in resiliency not only address vulnerabilities due to terrorist attacks or natural disasters.  Resilience also facilitates the global flows of trade/travel.</p>
<p>The private sector is an asset first, a target second: This is a critical step toward being able to make the case for private sector engagement.  Several options exist.</p>
<p>Redundancy is not resiliency.  Having costly back-up systems or two of everything is the easy and most expensive way to “bend and not break.”  If done correctly, resiliency is more akin to the concept of Intelligent Immunity we put forth in the latest GMM paper.</p>
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		<title>By: William R. Cumming</title>
		<link>http://www.hlswatch.com/2008/05/07/house-homeland-hones-in-on-resilience/#comment-104043</link>
		<dc:creator>William R. Cumming</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 07 May 2008 19:48:24 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid>http://www.hlswatch.com/2008/05/07/house-homeland-hones-in-on-resilience/#comment-104043</guid>
		<description>Interesting how little studied are the NYC blackouts of 1965 and 1977 and the N.E. Grid failure of several years ago. The discovery of EMP (Electro-magnetic Pulse) as a factor in Nuclear attack scenario caused wholesale revisions in both attack and defense strategies. Resiliency is clearly more than ability to respond if some assets are knocked out or no-longer available, or unable to be surged if the incident/event is imminent. Interoperabity and redundancy are factors as well as identification of critical nodes and systems. The real task of developing resiliency is not post hac but in futuro when in designing new technology or improving same it must be designed in from the beginning not after the fact. This may be difficult but clearly the US could muster the scientific and engineering effort to do it. So far efforts at addressing resiliency have been largely left to the private sector based on their self interest in not facing business interruption or need for physical and cyber security. These efforts have not been documented for their achievements or inadquacies yet. Question--who is supposed to do that?
DHS refuses to request funds for resiliency studies and so far Congress has lacked the imagination to provide it. It might also be of interest to see how on a comparative basis other nations or geographic areas have handled large-scale events or plan for them. For example, the European Union (OECD). Has the World Bank ever done any work on resiliency?  Canda?  Mexico? It is not beyond belief to believe that a major oil disruption may just be around the corner? All the statistical and critical information on consequences is still solely within the private sector if it exists at all. What about allowing DHS to gather statistics on resiliency in each of the sectors established under successor documents to PD 63, issued May 22, 1998.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Interesting how little studied are the NYC blackouts of 1965 and 1977 and the N.E. Grid failure of several years ago. The discovery of EMP (Electro-magnetic Pulse) as a factor in Nuclear attack scenario caused wholesale revisions in both attack and defense strategies. Resiliency is clearly more than ability to respond if some assets are knocked out or no-longer available, or unable to be surged if the incident/event is imminent. Interoperabity and redundancy are factors as well as identification of critical nodes and systems. The real task of developing resiliency is not post hac but in futuro when in designing new technology or improving same it must be designed in from the beginning not after the fact. This may be difficult but clearly the US could muster the scientific and engineering effort to do it. So far efforts at addressing resiliency have been largely left to the private sector based on their self interest in not facing business interruption or need for physical and cyber security. These efforts have not been documented for their achievements or inadquacies yet. Question&#8211;who is supposed to do that?<br />
DHS refuses to request funds for resiliency studies and so far Congress has lacked the imagination to provide it. It might also be of interest to see how on a comparative basis other nations or geographic areas have handled large-scale events or plan for them. For example, the European Union (OECD). Has the World Bank ever done any work on resiliency?  Canda?  Mexico? It is not beyond belief to believe that a major oil disruption may just be around the corner? All the statistical and critical information on consequences is still solely within the private sector if it exists at all. What about allowing DHS to gather statistics on resiliency in each of the sectors established under successor documents to PD 63, issued May 22, 1998.</p>
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		<title>By: Arnold</title>
		<link>http://www.hlswatch.com/2008/05/07/house-homeland-hones-in-on-resilience/#comment-104032</link>
		<dc:creator>Arnold</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 07 May 2008 18:03:54 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid>http://www.hlswatch.com/2008/05/07/house-homeland-hones-in-on-resilience/#comment-104032</guid>
		<description>While the idea of resilience is great, as the basis for homeland security strategy it is still a little mushy.  There is not agreement on what exactly it means.

For example, you do not include concerns about response in this concept: "Turning victims into patients is important for response, but resilience is different."  Yet your guest poster, Robert Kelly, does: "That is the essence of resilience – the ability to rapidly respond to and recover from a catastrophic event." 

And Steve Flynn includes it among his "four pillars of resilience" in his recent Foreign Affairs piece: "Second is resourcefulness, which involves skillfully managing a disaster once it unfolds...Ensuring that U.S. society is resourceful means providing adequate resources to the National Guard, the American Red Cross, public health officials, firefighters, emergency-room staffs, and other emergency planners and responders."

Unfortunately, I think the concept requires a lot of refining.  But hopefully these hearings will not be the only cuts at this effort.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>While the idea of resilience is great, as the basis for homeland security strategy it is still a little mushy.  There is not agreement on what exactly it means.</p>
<p>For example, you do not include concerns about response in this concept: &#8220;Turning victims into patients is important for response, but resilience is different.&#8221;  Yet your guest poster, Robert Kelly, does: &#8220;That is the essence of resilience – the ability to rapidly respond to and recover from a catastrophic event.&#8221; </p>
<p>And Steve Flynn includes it among his &#8220;four pillars of resilience&#8221; in his recent Foreign Affairs piece: &#8220;Second is resourcefulness, which involves skillfully managing a disaster once it unfolds&#8230;Ensuring that U.S. society is resourceful means providing adequate resources to the National Guard, the American Red Cross, public health officials, firefighters, emergency-room staffs, and other emergency planners and responders.&#8221;</p>
<p>Unfortunately, I think the concept requires a lot of refining.  But hopefully these hearings will not be the only cuts at this effort.</p>
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