Homeland Security Watch

News and analysis of critical issues in homeland security

July 1, 2009

Give and take along the Afpak border

Filed under: Strategy,Terrorist Threats & Attacks — by Philip J. Palin on July 1, 2009

afghan_pakistan_bbc  Geography of the Afghan-Pakistan militant nexus from the BBC

Pakistan’s plan — hope? — to isolate Baitullah Mehsud has unravelled.  Over the last few days two other warlords have decided to leave the sidelines and join the fight against the government in the FATA.

Hafiz Gul Bahadur in North Waziristan and Maulvi Nazir in South Waziristan have each renounced previously negotiated peace-deals with Islamabad.    (Read more from the BBC.)  The tribal leaders have initiated attacks on Pakistan’s military forces still  massing for operations against Baitullah’s tribal heartland in South Waziristan. (Read more from LongWarJournal.)

This strategic set-back for Pakistan could, however, offer some tactical benefits to the 4th Brigade, 25th Infantry Division  deployed immediately across the border from North and South Waziristan.  Both Bahadur and Nazir have used their peace-deal with Pakistan to deploy more forces into Afghanistan.  The leaders are reportedly calling these resources home for battle against the Pakistan army.

Read more on recent operations in Eastern Afghanistan from LongWarJournal and  Stars and Stripes.

Read more on the new US strategy in Afghanistan from Reuters.

UPDATE: USA Today is reporting that a US soldier is missing and may have been captured in Eastern Afghanistan.

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1 Comment »

Comment by William R. Cumming

July 1, 2009 @ 10:27 am

What is the design ratio for conventional forces vis a vis insurgents for possible success? 10 to 1! What is the ratio in areas discussed? Assuming NO US BOOTs on ground just UAVs?

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