But what about Natural x Accidental x Intentional?
Flooding in Mabletown, Georgia. Photo by John Bazemore, Associated Press
Firefighting in Ventura County, photo by Mike R. of Gather News
Early and unconfirmed reports suggest the quickly expanding Guiberson Fire in Ventura County, California was ignited by spontaneously combusting manure. According to CNN, the flames are threatening oil pumping and transmission lines which, unless effectively managed, could produce a catastrophic result. Wouldn’t that be an accident causing a bigger accident? (See more from the Los Angeles Times.)
No. 30 bus, July 7, 2005 Tavistock Square, London. Photograph by Peter Macdiarmind, GETTY
Tuesday federal authorities reminded public safety agencies and private sector organizations of the ongoing risk related to bombing attacks on luxury hotels, sports stadiums, and transportation systems.
The Associated Press is reporting that a suspected terrorist cell operating in Denver and New York may have been planning an attack using a hydrogen peroxide explosive, similar to that used in the July 2005 London Bombings. The AP is headlining their report, “Tiny, Cheap and Deadly.”
Force multipliers are a classic feature of warfare. The tactic is especially favored by the weaker side in an asymmetric struggle. It is reasonable to expect that violent extremists of various types are looking for dams to blow up, wildfires to start, chemical plants to weaponize, and other such variables to plug into their multiplication tables.
At the very least, this is another reason to pursue a persistent, multidisciplinary strategy that gives priority to prevention and mitigation of all-risks.
(This post was completed at 2200 hours (eastern) on Tuesday to be published on Wednesday. I will be unable to update on Wednesday and — rather obviously — current conditions could be considerably altered by then.)