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Comment by William R. Cumming

January 2, 2010 @ 3:03 am

Interesting choices Jessica. My guess is the reform categories of health and immigration will both look different in November 2010 and November 2012. It does look like possible retirement of two SCOTUS Associate Justices will occur at end of this years Supreme Court term. It is possible IMO that if that happens the long term record of Obama first term (hopefully will be a second) is going to be controlled by SCOTUS appointments and AF-PAK operations. As this blog readers know, I firmly believe by 2016 US Presidential elections will be almost entirely about foreign relations and foreign policy across a wide spectrum of subjects and amatuer night on foreign policy by US Presidents and Presidential candidates will be a thing of the past two hundred years. The US voting public will finally and conclusively understand that the period from August 1945 to September 2001 was largely an historical fluke for many reasons with respect to nation-state relationships and domestic US politics. Perhaps International Relations will finally dominate undergraduate degrees while the 40% of B.A.s that are English Majors (fast dwindling to something called Communications Majors) is recognized as largely self-aborbtion and unrealistic for surviving the 21st Century. But as always could be wrong and hopefully will be. Still taking my best shot at futurology and US politics. Candidate for best rising star in US foreign policy and foreign relations–two! Hillary Clinton and Robert Zoellic of World Bank. Both have spent a lifetime preparing to engage US in the world and both have done so successfully. President Obama as he leaves office will finally be highly qualified on Foreign Policy and Foreign relations. Unfortunately these subjects differ from survival and success in the Chicago and Illinois milieu. In the future the most important factor in reviewing the success or failure of President Obama will be his time abroad from the US. De facto isolationsism of all but a relatively small foreign policy establishment will be looked on as the principal failure of the period 1945 to 2001, again IMO. We (the US) must start to learn the languages and cultures of the world. Sorry English and Communication Majors but you should have at least minored in Mandarin.