Homeland Security Watch

News and analysis of critical issues in homeland security

May 9, 2011

Terrorist Trends: Four recent reports

Filed under: Terrorist Threats & Attacks — by Philip J. Palin on May 9, 2011

Germany: Homegrown Terror Takes on New Dimensions (Spiegel Online)

May 9, 2011 – Osama bin Laden may be dead, but al-Qaida is alive and well in Germany. Each month, an average of five Islamists leave the country for terrorist training camps in the Afghanistan-Pakistan border area. Recent arrests in Düsseldorf show just how dangerous homegrown terror has become. MORE

United Kingdom: Five men held after ‘taking pictures’ of nuclear plant (The Telegraph)

May 3, 2011 – Five men were being questioned by anti-terrorism officers last night after being arrested for allegedly taking pictures outside the Sellafield nuclear reprocessing plant in the wake of Osama bin Laden’s death. MORE

Morocco: Marrakesh cafe bombing (AFP)

April 28, 2011 – A bomb attack at a crowded tourist cafe in the main square of the Moroccan city of Marrakesh killed 14 people, mostly foreigners, as world leaders denounced the “terrorist” act. (Since the initial attack three more have died and three suspects have been arrested.) MORE

Indonesia: Arrests Point To New Face Of Terrorism (Jakarta Globe)

April 23, 2011 – The arrest of 19 terrorism suspects and the subsequent discovery of a Good Friday bomb plot appears to have revealed a new breed of terror. Most of the newly arrested were university graduates and were apprehended in various parts of the country in relation to the series of book bombs sent to various prominent figures in Jakarta last month. MORE

Some personal notes related to the Marrakesh attack: I have enjoyed the shade and refreshment of the Argana Cafe, bombed late last month.  On a visceral level this attack so far away has, perhaps, been the most personally real for me.  It is interesting the regional affiliate of Al-Qaeda has since rejected responsibility for the bombing.  It is even more interesting that over the last two weeks large crowds of Moroccans have married calls for domestic political reform with rejection of terrorist violence.  In Libya and Syria this non-violent activism has been taken to its nearly suicidal limit. In Egypt peaceful non-cooperation has, so far, been an extraordinary success.

There are implications here for any us inspired by Gandhi and King.  President Obama appreciates the advocates of ahimsa, but has decisively demonstrated he is much more a disciple of Reinhold Niebuhr and Dietrich Bonhoeffer.

It will be interesting to hear what grand plan bin-Laden might have been trying to hatch in Abbottabad. But right now the evidence suggests our terrorist problem is much less a starkly Manichean struggle and much more a matter of frustrated narcissists.

This is not to dismiss a very real threat. See each report above.  But part of our plot problem has been a tendency toward narcissism even by the good guys. In every story of good conquering evil I have encountered, the good guys and gals are quiet realists and the evil-doers are undone by their excesses… especially of  delusional self-regard.

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Comment by Christopher Tingus

May 10, 2011 @ 5:22 am

Well, an interesting and much appreciated post….I am unfortunately far less optimistic!

Unfortunately, we see the Syrians killing innocents and we saw the “Brutes of Tehran” killing innocents and leaving a your woman rich with Persian blood spilling ont the streets of Tehran, however no NATO or US cruise missiles being fired into Syria or into Tehran, only Libya, the target –

While it took years and billions to kill Bin Laden and billions still flow from the US into the corrupt Pakistan held by Lucifer, We see what has been taking place in Egypt, soon Ethiopia and unfortunately as is cleartly written, the German-led EU supported by the ever powerful and ever political Vatican clashing w/the numerous cells in Europe w/its fast deployment Army soon on its way to East Jerusalem —

Terrorist trends – “The eveil-doers are undone by their excesses….especially of delusional self-regard”

In Lebanon, the line between Muslim and Christian is a wall – a wall that has some measure of seperation, however the Muslim fundamentalist “hates” the Christian and has little tolerance for those living on the next streets over…

What America seems not to understand is the intent of Muslim fundamentalist and what has been for generations a hatred by Lucifer for God’s Blessed children and the – hatred – is so engrained in the hearts and minds of so many that unfortunately for the Muslim who hates and so easily kills Christians, it is not a weakened America whose airwaves are filled with such an accomplishment of killing Bin Laden after years and years, billions of fderal reserve note and the unfortunate thing about this is the fact that it is the Germanms who know that America, our beloved Republic and its most wonderful and most charitable people are off to Disney and it is the European who underatands that AQ and those that manipulate the – peaceful messages – of the Qur’an must Now be dealt a hard blow w/sharpened sword.

To the European policy-makers, they fully understand that this War On Terror and the Muslim who has no regard for anyone other than Muslim and certainly will not be undne by any such “delusional self-regard” and the soon to be inspired “shock and awe” from Egypt, to Syria, Yemen, and even a far more militant Turkey will demand the Germans and the Vatican to mount the horses of their crusade first from within their own bundaries and deal a blow to the existing homegrown terrorism to soon strike capitals in Europe and then a push towards Jerusalem which this is all about and while Islam and its fundamentalist followers will be dealt a blow by the Europeans w/o any weakened America, bankrupted by its own “beltway bandits” and banking cohorts and while no one should underestimate the AQ leadership, in the end, after much strife and senseless killings of both Islamic and Christian innocents, all children of our Creator w/no one the right to judge another, the quest for jerusalem, its control will never succeed by either Christian or Muslim, for Jerusalem has already a King of King to sit on the throne and rid the world of such hatred, so many dysfunctional stonewalls built of generations….

AQ is often construed as misguided and its ops conducted by inept and uneducated…the German-led EU unlike the good Americans living far away in their own Disney, it is the German-led EU whose borders abutt this rampant hatred and the clashes in the streets throughout Europe and the shock and awe invoked by the “Brutes in Tehran” are inevitable and soon to transitin this world of Lucifer corrupted by so many into a world with veil of despair and evil and unless all wish to repent which will not happen, it has been thus written — God Bless all for mankind’s brilliance, his goodness and yet his selfish and greediness, his failure to heed the laws of Creator and the moral and ethical principles, truly it is the ignorance and limits of humanity, its lust for power, control, of self agend a as we see a paralyzed American Congress, grid-locked by partisanship, certainly not patriotic, a world filled with corporate and banker’s greed…Lucifer standing quite apparent, it will only be by the hand of all of our Creator that humanity continues to survive for We have seen throughout history and certainly since Babylon that every government, no matter form has failed because mankind is so self-oriented w/little patience and tolerance of another even within family….

Evil doers to be undone, yes, we, sinners in every so many ways, so disrespectful of one another, so willing to critize and “bully” the other…well, the advise to each of us, Muslim, Islamic fundamentalist, Christian, the Vatican…repent for the time draws near that our Creator who is witness to all, fears neaither Lucifer or anything throughout the inverses he has so beautifully created, yet is so utterly disappointed that man has never truly learned how to listen to one another, to respect differences, not necessarily to embrace oen another, but to Love one another as children of the Lord and to the “Brutes of Tehran” and those within the ever powerful Vatican hiding begind your vestments like the clerics scattered among us, you choose your bloodied swords to quickly and it will be all your demise…It has been so wriiten….

God Bless us all!

*Thank you to those at NSA and so many intel folks whether at NYPD, LAPD, throughout the US intel community who 24/7 do their utmost to protect us, however keep a watchful eye on the Middle East and how its further degrades itself into outright calamity in the weeks ahead which is so truly sad for those who truly are the children of God without this hatred…for they too will unfortunately suffer as we saw when the world less than 100 years ago suffered so…What a pity!

Christopher Tingus
PO Box 1612
Harwich, MA 02645 USA

Comment by William R. Cumming

May 11, 2011 @ 10:31 am

Well Respectfully disagree with part of the post. It turns out the INTEL community (all 16 as defined by E.O. 12333)is absolutely and positively stunned by the degree of operational activity directed from the UBL compound and the huge INTEL take from there. It turns out over 1/2 of the total time in the compound was INTEL collection of documents and clues and other stuff.
Some estimate up to six months to process the take and even longer to explore the implications.

See AQ was alive and relatively well on May 1st so now the question is whether that condition will be its future condition.

Comment by Philip J. Palin

May 11, 2011 @ 12:01 pm

Bill, perhaps we will find bin Laden has been more involved in what has appeared to be free-lance. If so, I will stand corrected. But given what has supposedly been retrieved from Abbottabad, what we have seen transpire over the last ten years, and what recent terrorist trends seem to signal… I am left wondering if bin Laden was not a micromanaging uber-narcissist who attracted many like-minded. In my personal experience narcissists do tend to be micro-managers. Further while micro-managers have occasional flashes of astounding success, they are often their own worst enemies in terms of building on what they initially brought together.

Comment by William R. Cumming

May 11, 2011 @ 4:45 pm

The next scheduled version of the DSM intends to eliminate “narcississum” from the list of personality disorders. Personally knowing what little I do about personality disorders except mine, I will always regard UBL as a worthy opponent. The verdict of time on his life and purposes will be of interest to watch over the next few decades.

Comment by Philip J. Palin

May 14, 2011 @ 8:53 am

On the role of non-violence — or non-cooperation with evil — two updates:

I am awed by the commitment of thousands of Syrians to confront violent oppression with little more than their vulnerability and courage. See: http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-middle-east-13391828

There was an interesting exchange on this issue at a May 12 conference on peace and non-violence: See: http://www.nytimes.com/2011/05/14/nyregion/nobel-peace-laureates-square-off-at-newark-nonviolence-summit.html?hp

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