Homeland Security Watch

News and analysis of critical issues in homeland security

July 18, 2013

Repeating history and writing the future

Filed under: Radicalization,Terrorist Threats & Attacks — by Philip J. Palin on July 18, 2013

In the early 1990s genocidal attacks against the Muslim population of the former Yugoslavia proceeded with little Western interference while the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan resulted in Western action to arm a wide range of insurgents, including a nascent Al Qaeda.

Some of the tactics and techniques developed in Afghanistan were deployed in the former Yugoslavia, Chechnya, eventually in Yemen, Kenya, Tanzania, and lower Manhattan.  An echo of these days reverberated as recently as April 15.

Western hypocrisy and geopolitical competition fueled the emergence of a worldview, adversaries, and a preternatural expectation of cultures-in-conflict.

Today tens of thousands are killed in Syria and any mitigation — much less resolution — is stymied by Big Power geopolitical competition.  Across the Sahel Salafist fighters bomb and kill (Christian) teachers and school children.  In Somalia Ethiopian and Kenyan Christians are active in containing (Islamic) al Shabbab.  In Egypt a Western-funded military facilitates the overthrow of a popularly elected (conservative Islamic) President.

These are gross simplifications of very complex realities.  But this narrative sufficiently parallels reality that more complicated counter-arguments are seldom self-evidently compelling.

We have, perhaps, ten years to adjust the narrative. The analogy that comes to my mind is trying to write lyric poetry as Asiana Flight 214 hits the seawall at SFO. There is forward movement, there is a bit of time, you will probably survive to die another day, but the noise, destruction, fear, and pain do not lend themselves to much writing of any kind.

Yet if we cannot — in collaboration across religious, national, and tribal divides — craft a more mutually satisfactory narrative, we will suffer again and again explosions of self-righteous anger and revenge.

This week there was a modest effort, easily ignored and as easily dismissed, to at least conceive a different narrative.  Here’s a news release and here’s a 25-page report with recommendations.  Might be worth a glance between our show-trials, political melodramas, furloughs, and vacations.

We need better.  But we should start with what we’ve got.

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9 Comments »

Comment by William R. Cumming

July 18, 2013 @ 6:42 am

So the wars of religion continue unabated in the 21st Century! What’s new?

Comment by Philip J. Palin

July 18, 2013 @ 7:04 am

Bill, I think what’s new is a kind of virtual proximity and mutual dependence that did not previously apply. What were once mostly local outbreaks of tribal-sectarian-ethnic-whatever violence can now prompt quickly escalating global consequences. What would be very new is for some group to globalize the Aum Shinrikyo franchise.

I think you might agree I am typically an optimist… even a Pollyanna or at least a Pangloss, a Candide. But what I have seen happening — perhaps more accurately, not happening — over the last couple of years is causing me to perceive we have turned a corner. What’s ahead is not at all clear and I may be reacting to the unknown more than the truly threatening. But for what it’s worth, my optimism has sputtered considerably.

Comment by William R. Cumming

July 18, 2013 @ 9:05 am

Thanks Phil and just tending our gardens will never be enough.

What is clear is that fear of the “other” is growing problem [why?] even in USA and around the world mixing of cultures and peoples seems to be an explosive idea for civil security [again why?]!

Comment by Christopher Tingus

July 18, 2013 @ 9:52 am

While unfortunate that we cannot remain optimists given the perverse and dysfunctional as well as tragic reality about us, Bill is right on the mark as Islam and Christianity face off again in the 21st century with even far more calamity than humanity has ever known…With a weakened US administration and Congress so partisan and evidently paralyzed other than to address self-serving agenda and certainly Not ol’ Glory and the Constitution and the enforcement of present laws….

German strategists once again are encircling Tehran and these “Brutes of Tehran” as I reference them so focus on WMD, to their dismay, Merkel and the Bundestag will broadside the Iranian regime with “bristles of terror” as verse clearly states and just as in 1870, 1914, 1939, I assure you that the Germans are at the heart of another resurrections of the “Holy” Roman Empire -which has no spanned 1500 years and the german mentality – Reich – is foremost their agenda and from the defense efforts we see in continued increasing exports of weapons and other such product, Tehran has much to worry about as do us all…. it is apparent that we will all again be in the throes of War!

If only mankind could celebrate much of the similarities we do share and Respect another’s choices without burden to another….4400 and more german soldiers will stay in Afghanistan as the US pulls out and we see German military personnel mounting in Djibouti and Somalia. We see in Uzbekistan, Germany’s increased presence and expanded operations at the air base in Termez. We all see Germany’s intent in grabbing EU control of Cyprus, the strategic Mediterranean military and strategic asset and the increasing manufacture and distribution to the Middle East of arms whereby a new Confederate of Middle East States in ally to Germany are quite evident….All written and foretold by scripture and I merely conveying so often and so many frowning and chuckling at my remarks in perception when in fact, all simply written in the best guide book share with us and few have read or care to understand…

We have failed to repent and we are all in peril. Tehran will be dealt a swift blow and to the surprise of Tehran, Hamas and Hezbollah will not be there to assist as even these gentlemen will have come to realize that they could no longer support the charade of the clerics….The infamous Hawk is far too bright and even he is beginning to get troubled by the actions and intent of Tehran.

To our young policy makers, you have little understanding of the respective cultures globally which at times are in conflict with one another and you have failed to understand that while you dismantle US nuclear and other arsenal and the “KGB Putinites” are streamlining and adding more sophisticated weaponry to their first strike capabilities, unless America strengthens its arsenal, our Democracy under siege now from many who seek our demise will be compromised so many ways….

God Bless us all! Read you Bibles. Begin with (Luke 21:20 and Luke 21:22,24) and then to (Daniel 11:41) and move about to (2 Chronicles 6.6; Zachariah 3:2) and (Daniel 11: 40-45) and you might like to turn to (Proverbs 22:7) where it is clearly shown how we – the US – are becoming enslaved to those we reach out to for example, the 13th April meeting Kerry – who I have little use for – and he meeting with Chinese leaders and Kerry stating, “We welcome Chinese investment in the United States” – how absurd that this once great nation, now so compromised and jeopardized by this Chicago city street slicker at the WH and talk of China coming to our aid in addressing the $2.2 trillion over the next five years – we need to repair our infrastructure, water utilities, power plants, roadways, etc. How absurd and what a shame we could not be good stewards with our monies and “entrusting” those seeking public service to portray the leadership required, rather than the corrupt ways of these – beltway thieves and to see our brave Patriots left behind so willingly at the “Benghazi Massacre” ….and Ms. Hillary who should also be under House arrest foe suspicion of breach of faith, treason stating, “What does it matter” – what a pity….

“No people will tamely surrender their Liberties, nor can they be easily subdued, when knowledge is wide spread and Virtue is preserved. On the Contrary, when People are universally ignorant, and debauched in their manners, they will sink under their own weight without Aid of foreign invaders” – (Samuel Adams 1775)

God Bless America!

Christopher Tingus
“Main Street USA”
- Joe Citizen -
Cape Cod, MA 02645 USA
chris.tingus@gmail.com

God Bless us all!

Comment by William R. Cumming

July 18, 2013 @ 10:31 am

The Westphalian Treaties [1648]largely ended religious warfare in Western Europe. The horrors of the Thirty Year War with conversion by boiling pitch down the throats of non-believers ended. The fracture of Catholicism with the Reformation had been in part the cause of these wars. Islam largely had retreated from Western Europe after the Moors defeated in Spain and the tide of Islam receding after defeats outside Vienna.

The result was the erection of the Nation-State as the largest repository of organized violence and the nation-states efforts to control, defend and perhaps expand territory. But Christianity while to some degree ended internecine warfare this was not a world wide trend or even one that tidied up religious beliefs on a geographic basis.

So now as Phil points out technology, industry, economic systems world wide at least somewhat dependent. The interlocking nature of Western Europe’s economies did not prevent WWI and WWII.

So where did this leave US? Clearly the international bankster community that absolutely will not reform itself as it sucks dry the world’s productive economies is now IMO largely an issue for the International Community. We know not the exact purposes of PRISIM and other such surveillance programs but is it now possible that many are profiting from the knowledge obtained one way or another?

The information world is merged or largely merged due to technology and bites and bits are our destiny. Yet almost no thought given to collection, processing or distribution. Again Why?

World history seems to indicate corrupt systems do not reform themselves or does IMO!

So what exactly are the internal reform mechanizims for the USA and our society?

Can they be identified and strengthened because clearly they are under open and covert attack?

The fundamental design of the Constitution was to divide power mechanisms. Does that 237 year old system and process still have self protective measures.

Those who argue like the President that his primary duty is to protect Americans are wrong. Protection of the Constitution and its norms is paramount. Can government of the people, by the people, for the people long endure?

IMO HS in reality civil security cannot be left to the armed forces or the law enforcement culture, but am I wrong?

The next head of DHS must be a civilian and committed to CIVIL SECURITY. Perhaps this is a form of community policing on a national scale!

Comment by William R. Cumming

July 18, 2013 @ 12:01 pm

And with 27 million in displaced refugee status worldwide internally and externally to nation-states that is a problem of HS internationally.

If evacuation as a PAR is where citizens and residents leave intending to return Hurricane Katrina has yet to studied for its largest creation of refugees in USA history.

Largely written by Cuban and Chinese lobbyists the Senate passed Immigration bill is silent on the International refugee problem. The Dust Bowl is another example of refugees in USA history. See the Ken Burns documentary.

Comment by Christopher Tingus

July 18, 2013 @ 8:45 pm

ref Repeating History and Writing the Future….

Ladies and gentlemen of the Department of Homeland Security and other governmental agencies as well as the good People of this our beloved Republic, kindly be attentive:

Here are excerpts from a speech entitled “The President and the Press: Address before the American Newspaper Publishers Association”, given by US President John F. Kennedy at the Waldorf-Astoria Hotel in New York City, April 27, 1961. (For the full text, click here; for the audio file, click here):

“Mr. Chairman, ladies and gentlemen:

“Tonight, I want to talk about our common responsibilities in the face of a common danger. The events of recent weeks may have helped to illuminate that challenge for some; but the dimensions of its threat have loomed large on the horizon for many years. Whatever our hopes may be for the future — for reducing this threat or living with it — there is no escaping either the gravity or the totality of its challenge to our survival and to our security — a challenge that confronts us in unaccustomed ways in every sphere of human activity.
“The very word ‘secrecy’ is repugnant in a free and open society; and we are as a people inherently and historically opposed to secret societies, to secret oaths and to secret proceedings. We decided long ago that the dangers of excessive and unwarranted concealment of pertinent facts far outweighed the dangers which are cited to justify it. Even today, there is little value in opposing the threat of a closed society by imitating its arbitrary restrictions. Even today, there is little value in insuring the survival of our nation if our traditions do not survive with it. And there is very grave danger that an announced need for increased security will be seized upon by those anxious to expand its meaning to the very limits of official censorship and concealment. That I do not intend to permit to the extent that it is in my control. And no official of my Administration, whether his rank is high or low, civilian or military, should interpret my words here tonight as an excuse to censor the news, to stifle dissent, to cover up our mistakes or to withhold from the press and the public the facts they deserve to know.
“Today no war has been declared — and however fierce the struggle may be, it may never be declared in the traditional fashion. Our way of life is under attack. Those who make themselves our enemy are advancing around the globe. The survival of our friends is in danger. (…)
“For we are opposed around the world by a monolithic and ruthless conspiracy that relies primarily on covert means for expanding its sphere of influence — on infiltration instead of invasion, on subversion instead of elections, on intimidation instead of free choice, on guerrillas by night instead of armies by day. It is a system which has conscripted vast human and material resources into the building of a tightly knit, highly efficient machine that combines military, diplomatic, intelligence, economic, scientific and political operations.
“Its preparations are concealed, not published. Its mistakes are buried, not headlined. Its dissenters are silenced, not praised. No expenditure is questioned, no rumor is printed, no secret is revealed. It conducts the Cold War, in short, with a war-time discipline no democracy would ever hope or wish to match. (…)
“It is the unprecedented nature of this challenge that also gives rise to your second obligation — an obligation which I share. And that is our obligation to inform and alert the American people — to make certain that they possess all the facts that they need, and understand them as well — the perils, the prospects, the purposes of our program and the choices that we face.
“Without debate, without criticism, no Administration and no country can succeed — and no republic can survive. That is why the Athenian lawmaker Solon decreed it a crime for any citizen to shrink from controversy. And that is why our press was protected by the First Amendment — the only business in America specifically protected by the Constitution — not primarily to amuse and entertain, not to emphasize the trivial and the sentimental, not to simply ‘give the public what it wants’ — but to inform, to arouse, to reflect, to state our dangers and our opportunities, to indicate our crises and our choices, to lead, mold, educate and sometimes even anger public opinion.
“This means greater coverage and analysis of international news — for it is no longer far away and foreign but close at hand and local. It means greater attention to improved understanding of the news as well as improved transmission. And it means, finally, that government at all levels, must meet its obligation to provide you with the fullest possible information outside the narrowest limits of national security — and we intend to do it.”

John Fitzgerald Kennedy

…submitted this 18th day, July 2013 as this nation so plagued by a divisive executive White House and its malevolent mannerisms and its intentional disavowal and malicious ways towards the Constitution and our Judeo Christian principles, I ask the House to place Barry Obama and Hillary Clinton under arrest for suspicion in breach of faith, treason for their knowing ways and willingness to convey blatant lie shoulder to shoulder to write their self-serving future and leave our brave Patriots behind at the “Benghazi Massacre” –

As Stephen Douglass said, ” Find out just what People will submit to, and you have found the exact amount of injustice and wrong which will be imposed upon them; and these will continue until they are resisted with either words or blows, or with both. The limits of tyrants arte prescribed by the endurance of those whom they oppress” –

…and in looking in the past and to the future at this critical time in US history, in the words of Samuel Jackson (1775):

“No People will tamely surrender their Liberties, nor can they be easily subdued, when knowledge is wide spread and Virtue preserved. On the Contrary, when people are universally ignorant, and debauched in their manners, they will sink under their own weight without Aid of foreign invaders” -

God Bless our beloved Republic! We are in great peril from within….

Christopher Tingus
“Main Street USA”
PO Box 1612
Harwich (Cape Cod), MA 02645 USA
chris.tingus@gmail.com

Comment by William R. Cumming

July 19, 2013 @ 12:28 am

Thanks Chris! And Johnny we hardly knew you and our life [my life] was changed that day in Dallas!

In Robert Caro’s 4th volume of the LBJ Biography he strongly suggests that LBJ was about to be destroyed by his corruption and JFK if he lived would have dumped LBJ from the 1964 ticket.

My one letter from LBJ stated “your friends and neighbors have selected you for service in the Armed Forces of the United States”! Yes Lyndon even ABOUT THAT YOU COULD NOT TELL OR SAY THE TRUTH!

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