Homeland Security Watch

News and analysis of critical issues in homeland security

July 31, 2015

Friday Free Forum

Filed under: General Homeland Security — by Philip J. Palin on July 31, 2015

William R. Cumming Forum

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25 Comments »

Comment by William R. Cumming

July 31, 2015 @ 7:56 am

Hoping that as we approach the TENTH ANNIVERSARY od Hurricane Katrina making landfall many comments and references analyzing that event. Why? Well my two thoughts for the historical record:

1. The largest permanent displacement of a settled population in USA history from a NATURAL DISASTER.

2. The largest separation of the 18 and under population from parents and guardians ever in USA history.

3. And after expending between $14-20B for structural protective works even NOW NOLA not protected from any category 2 Hurricane EVENT.

Thoughts?

IMO the Katrina REPSONSE AND RECOVERY and the HAITI EARTHQUAKE RESPONSE AND RECOVERY represent accurate USA response and recovery policy, and STORM SANDY does not. STORM SANDY WAS IN FACT A BAILOUT BY THE FEDERAL GOVERNMENT
OF DECADES OF NEGLIGENCE BY THE STATES IN LAND DEVELOPMENT WHEREIN LAND DEVELOPERS WERE LARGELY REWARDED FOR THEIR CORRUPTION OF GOVERNMENTS and construction in hazardous areas.

STORM SANDY was not hurricane relief [Sandy was not repeat not a hurricane at landfall] but indemnification of corruption.

And US Senate investigative staff has closed the door on problems in the NFIP on Storm Sandy Claims:

http://fas.org/irp/agency/dhs/fema/flood.pdf

Comment by William R. Cumming

July 31, 2015 @ 8:11 am

As we approach September 11th, 2015, perhaps time for a retroactive look as to what has been accomplished on HS by all concerned.

1. The reduction if not destruction of the miniscule EM profession.

2. The absolute refusal of the FIRE SERVICE and LAW ENFORCEMENT communities to get involved in the RECOVERY PROCESS.

3. The failure of the Congress to reorganize itself to assist HS as recommended by the 9/11/01 Commission.

4. The failure of DHS to accomplish much on its three main reasons for existence:

(a) WMD prevention, response, and recovery;
(b) CIP and Cyber Security;
(c) collection, analysis, dessemination of domestic intelligence while protecting civil rights and civil liberties.

5 Erosion of US Coast guard capabilites even while enlarging missions and goal.

6. Failure to create a DOMESTIC CRISIS RESPONSE system and CHAIN OF COMMAND.

7. Reliance on DoD for worst case domestic response and recovery without funding or training that cadre.

8. Failure to fund and train for civil riots and disorders.

9. Allowing health preparedness to decline even while HHS and CDC do far better with limited funds and authority than the eqivelant effort by DHS and FEMA.

10. Allowing STATE and LOCAL HS and EM efforts to attrite.

11. Allowing HS and EM to founder under NSC leadership that is enthralled with military options.

12. Allowing key RESPONSE organizations like EPA to decay.

Comment by William R. Cumming

July 31, 2015 @ 8:17 am

And continue to study military/civil interface policies and issue and that study so has resulted in two conclusions:

1. The military/civil interface is at an all-time low ebb and the Uniformed Military about to be trashed whomever wins the Presidency in 2016. Madeline Albright asked the completely wrong question in stating: WHAT USE IS A SUPERB MILITARY IF YOU NEVER USE IT?

2. Mutual knowledge, understanding and respect of military and civilian leaders and understanding at an all-time low!

THE KEY QUESTION: Should the USA be a leader in trying to maintain a NATION-STATE system? Pros and cons?

Comment by tom russo

July 31, 2015 @ 3:20 pm

My view…politics pre-empts preparedness! Their persists a lack of congruency between state governor administrations, Congress and Presidential administrations. There persists a lack of unity of effort and both national security and homeland security are victims.

Consider, Governors approach governance from a variety of perspectives one of which is to establish a record of accomplishment for cutting the size of government…regardless to the impact on preparedness capacities. They hire political partners (hacks) who have no experience over a state agency other than to cut its size. We have seen this scenario at the federal level…pick one (DHHS, IRS, Justice). Scoring political points trumps safety, security and preparedness. Have we seen this before? WWI…WWII

Comment by Philip J. Palin

July 31, 2015 @ 4:26 pm

Bill: I will offer my response to your key question: Yes, it is in our national self-interest and, I believe, the interest of most Americans, for the United States to play a leading role in maintaining the nation-state system. If by choice or neglect we would not support, this would almost certainly increase global instability… probably to the detriment or serious harm of the United States and its citizens. HOW to be an effective leader in this task is a very different question which would require a much more detailed answer… and I’m much less self-confident of that answer.

Comment by William R. Cumming

August 1, 2015 @ 5:56 am

Thanks Tom and Phil!

Noting for the record on August 1st, 2015 no mention of DHS, FEMA, Domestic Preparedness, Disaster Relief, Federalism, support or objection to funding and operations of multilateral international organizations, by any of the candidates.

Jeb Bush has reported over 70% of total Republican Super-Pac monies received and Bill & Hillary received $140M in last eight (8) years.

Major nation-states under severe stress this Century to maintain that status IMO are the following [and always remember that HS and EM are primary civil fiunctions of nation-states and those interested in serious governance IMO]:

1. China;

2. Russia;

3. U.S.A. [see newest versions of the book titled something like THE FOURTEEN NATIONS OF NORTH AMERICA just released];

4. U.K.;

5. Nigeria;

6. Turkey;

6. India;

7. Pakistan;

8. Israel;

9. Saudi Arabia;

10. Most of MENA [Middle-East North Africa].

Could be wrong as always and time will tell!

Comment by William R. Cumming

August 1, 2015 @ 6:00 am

What multilateral organizations primarily support the nation-state system IMO:

1. The United Nations [makes sense does it not it even though some of its 200 members are barely nations and even less states];

And that it folks.

Comment by William R. Cumming

August 1, 2015 @ 6:03 am

What is the primary threat to the nation-state system?

THE INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL COMMUNITY AND ITS BANK OWNED CENTRAL BANKS!

The love and profit from various international financial crisis and in a take off of Naomi Klein promote dispair and disruption.

Comment by William R. Cumming

August 1, 2015 @ 6:07 am

And far behind the financiers the private energy companies of the world [all of which promote themselves over national preparedness] that pretend to be nation-states and the NOC’s [National Oil Companies] that pretend to be be private companies.

And do you know where each of the 20 ANNOUNCED CANDIDATES STAND ON CLIMATE CHANGE AND NUCLEAR POWER AND RENEWABLE ENERGY STRATEGY?

Comment by William R. Cumming

August 1, 2015 @ 6:08 am

Please watch the Republican 2016 Presidential Primary debate on August 6th and see if any of the above discussed?

Comment by William R. Cumming

August 1, 2015 @ 6:10 am

Again controlling borders and immigration legal and illegal is/are fundamental roles of nation-states IMO!

Comment by Christopher Tingus

August 1, 2015 @ 7:58 am

400% expansion of the money supply in six years and more than doubling of our national debt since 2006! Homeland Security?

Kindly read: Porter Stansberry’s America 2020!= – the Survival Blueprint!

God Bless us all!

Comment by Philip J. Palin

August 1, 2015 @ 8:24 am

Bill: I am all in favor of more effective border control and immigration management. But I am not familiar with any historical model for sustained success… at least for an “attractive” nation-state. From ancient Egypt to modern Europe various waves of migration have been more or less continuous… long before today’s enhanced transportation links. Japan may be the most successful at excluding. But for a whole host of geographic, cultural, and structural reasons, what is (still not entirely) effective for Japan is implausible for the United States.

Comment by William R. Cumming

August 2, 2015 @ 8:32 am

Thanks Phil and yes demographics seem to rule all!

Comment by William R. Cumming

August 2, 2015 @ 8:36 am

Offline several people have stated that my rather extensive criticism of DHS and FEMA is harsh but largely correct. Some from in those organizations also seem to confirm my criticisms.

Historian Liddell Hart of the UK wrote a book captioned THE AUDIT OF WAR but based on my experience and others MOTHER NATURE AND MANKIND [terrorist] can also be effective auditors of the realities of PREPAREDNESS AND CAPABILITIES.

So time will tell!

Comment by William R. Cumming

August 3, 2015 @ 7:51 am

Peter Bergen interviewed on the show weekly THE MILLER CENTER FORUM assisted by U.VA. Catch it if you can as he summarizes progress and failures since 9/11/01!

Comment by William R. Cumming

August 3, 2015 @ 7:55 am

wikipedia Extract:

Peter Bergen (born December 12, 1962) is an American print and broadcast journalist, author, documentary producer, and CNN’s national security analyst. In 1997, Bergen produced the first television interview with Osama bin Laden. The interview, which aired on CNN, marked the first time that bin Laden declared war against the United States to a Western audience. Bergen has written four books: Holy War, Inc.: Inside the Secret World of Osama bin Laden (2001), The Osama bin Laden I Know (2006), The Longest War: The Enduring Conflict Between America and al-Qaeda (2011), and Manhunt: The Ten-Year Search for Bin Laden From 9/11 to Abbottabad (2012). Three of the books were New York Times bestsellers and they have been translated into twenty languages.[

Comment by William R. Cumming

August 4, 2015 @ 8:27 am

Goofing off today. Complete 73 years on face of Planet Earth at 5:30 P.M. today August 4th.

Will be reading David Baldacci THE TARGET!

I did listen to the Forum in N.H. on C-span last night where all the Republican candidates appeared except the DONALD!

Comment by William R. Cumming

August 4, 2015 @ 11:16 am

Thanks to Recovery Diva!

CRS Report on Disaster Declarations
by recoverydiva
See: Stafford Act Declarations 1953-2014: Trends,
Analyses, and Implications for Congress (37 pp).

Comment by tom russo

August 4, 2015 @ 4:04 pm

I went back thru the list of comments this pm, while you were goofing off (good for you), and #2 caught my interest:

2. The absolute refusal of the FIRE SERVICE and LAW ENFORCEMENT communities to get involved in the RECOVERY PROCESS.

I don’t know that I would want those disciplines reconfigured for recovery. New missions would have to be defined that I do not currently see that they are constructed to fulfill. The alternative, as I have experienced through the ESF structure, is to identify, train and ready other disciplines and/or agencies to full those roles recovered in the recovery process.

I need law, fire and EMS ready for the next shoe to fall!

Comment by William R. Cumming

August 5, 2015 @ 7:27 am

Thanks Tom! And many not on call in the Police and Fire Service need to spend some time to understand EM and their relationships to them. In fact all disciplines need the same.

The problem is that the 1M Law Enforcement professionals, the 500,000 Fire Service professionals, and the 1.7 Fire Service volunteers seem to largely lack long term interest in the PREVENTION PARADIGM placed in the FEMA lingo by PKEMA 2006 effective March 31, 2007.

Originally no statutory definition but now one exists.

No Congressional hearing ever held on meaning of PREPAREDNESS, PREVENTION, RESILIENCE, REPONSE, RECOVERY, OR MITIGATION.

Does any academic discussion of these terms exist? Not to my knowledge. Grey literature only.

Comment by William R. Cumming

August 5, 2015 @ 8:02 am

Disclosure: I am not great in statistics or statistical analysis. 3 CHs in college with something like a C-!

But I love graphs and charts so will try and post one weekly on FFF even though they may be somewhat remote to HS and EM.

Perhaps smarter people than I can detect stronger links or not. So here is this week’s contribution:

http://www.nr.com/whp/notes/USdistortedMaps.pdf

Comment by William R. Cumming

August 5, 2015 @ 12:44 pm

Suzanne Spaulding is current Under Secretary of DHS for National Protection & Programs. Like Phil she was at Aspen and several panels.

CRS latest on CIP:

I have a June 10 report by Motef on Critical Infrastructures here:

http://fas.org/sgp/crs/homesec/RL30153.pdf

Comment by William R. Cumming

August 8, 2015 @ 3:42 am

The following components currently make up the NPPD:
• Federal Protective Service;
• Office of Biometric Identify Management;
• Office of Cyber and Infrastructure Analysis;
• Office of Cybersecurity and Communications; and
• Office of Infrastructure Protection.
Policy Implementation

Comment by William R. Cumming

August 8, 2015 @ 3:45 am

Under Secretary Spaulding has at least two Assistant Secretaries reporting to her.

But no cyber security czar as promised by Candidate Obama in 2008!

But he does have 40 other “czars” IMO!

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