Homeland Security Watch

News and analysis of critical issues in homeland security

April 15, 2016

Friday Free Forum

Filed under: General Homeland Security — by Arnold Bogis on April 15, 2016

William R. Cumming Forum

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24 Comments »

Comment by William R. Cumming

April 15, 2016 @ 7:18 am

I have posted a short review of Marc Ambinder’s DEEP STATE [2013] on Amazon.com/books.

I provided my quick and dirty definition of the DEEP STATE, PERHAPS OF QUESTIONABLE VALIDITY. Anyone with a personel security clearance is a member of the DEEP STATE although they may not understand the DEEP STATE or realize the importance of their membership. I captioned my review DEEP STATE or NATION-STATE. I also postulated that in reality none of the Boomer Presidents is really a member and that none of them have understood nuclear strategy and issues or the power of what I call the NUCLEAR PRIESTHOOD.

BTW Bernie will be 75 by Election Day, Trump and HRC 70. No generational passing here?

Comment by William R. Cumming

April 15, 2016 @ 7:29 am

Some may wonder, perhaps someday if not now, why I keep blogging. Google captures blogs and comments for all blogs and comments. So perhaps when the ultimate “which” hunt occurs post event someone, perhaps a Congressional Committee might want to access writings and thoughts on HS and EM. Perhaps not.

I don’t control this blog but as long as it exists will use it for my purposes.

Comment by William R. Cumming

April 15, 2016 @ 7:30 am

I also comment from time to time on other blogs, mainly SIC SEMPER TYRANNIS blog.

Comment by William R. Cumming

April 15, 2016 @ 7:35 am

A COG [crisis] may be underway evidenced by the 2016 Presidential election. Did you know that I believe Bush v. Gore a COG decision and do you understand why?

Shorthand: Bush v. Gore made any aspect of a Presidential election, previously under the legal authority of the States, subject to federal control.

A second Era of Reconstruction? Check out the Hayes v. Tilden Election of 1876?

Comment by William R. Cumming

April 15, 2016 @ 8:07 am

A major controversy swirling around the federal Executive Branch. Involves the Zika Virus and the failure of Congress to fund the Administration’s $1.9B to fight Zika.

As readers of this blog should know the words “protect the Public Health and Safety’ do not appear anywhere in the Robert T. Stafford Disaster Relief and Emeergency Assistance Act. Codified at 42 USC Sections 5121 and following with other statutes enacted including the Disaster Relief Acxt of 1974, Public Law 93-288.

Check for yourself:

http://fas.org/irp/agency/dhs/fema/stafford.pdf

The question is whether or not to have the President declare a DISASTER or EMERGENCY?

The West Nile mitigation efforts were funded through the Stafford Act by a Presidential Declaration of EMERGENCY.

FEMA took heat because it bought 20K RV’s to help house Katrina’s victims and all had formaldehyde problems.

Given Washington dysfunction IMO the language missing now in Stafford should be added.

There is more history which shall follow next comment!

Comment by William R. Cumming

April 15, 2016 @ 8:15 am

Please See My Letter to the Editor on Page 22 of the linked document:

https://hazards.colorado.edu/uploads/observer/2009/jan_observerweb.pdf

Comment by William R. Cumming

April 15, 2016 @ 9:18 am

What is the impact of HS and EM on sovereignty?

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sovereignty

Comment by William R. Cumming

April 15, 2016 @ 3:41 pm

CRS on Zika funding:

http://www.fas.org/sgp/crs/misc/R44460.pdf

Comment by William R. Cumming

April 18, 2016 @ 2:31 am

MY FP link for the week:

http://lobelog.com/review-the-conceit-of-humanitarian-intervention/#more-33760

Are these of interest? IMO they relate to HS and EM even though relating to GOVERNANCE generally!

Comment by William R. Cumming

April 18, 2016 @ 8:26 am

I have now read the first 100 pp of Juliett Kayyem’s new book SECURITY MOM! It would be very easy to condemn this book for its mainly technical failures but that would avoid confronting the underlying issue of those first 100 pp which is described by the psychological term “ROLE CONFLICT”!

I was once treated to 6 weeks of expert testimony on ROLE CONFLICT which describes the state of most of humanity that we have conflicts between many of our personal and social roles. Will a responder respond or choose to protect his/her family also impacted by the crisis or disaster?

The expert testimony revealed that with intensive training the responder would choose to respond, but not always.

More to follow!

Comment by William R. Cumming

April 18, 2016 @ 1:25 pm

I have now read the first 100 pp of Juliett Kayyem’s new book SECURITY MOM! It would be very easy to condemn this book for its mainly technical failures but that would avoid confronting the underlying issue of those first 100 pp which is described by the psychological term “ROLE CONFLICT”!

I was once treated to 6 weeks of expert testimony on ROLE CONFLICT which describes the state of most of humanity that we have conflicts between many of our personal and social roles. Will a responder respond or choose to protect his/her family also impacted by the crisis or disaster?

The expert testimony revealed that with intensive training the responder would choose to respond, but not always.

More to follow!

Comment by Tom Russo

April 19, 2016 @ 4:20 pm

Yeah…I can see why the Zika funding resolution has gone nowhere…lots of pork!

Comment by William R. Cumming

April 20, 2016 @ 12:32 am

Another 75 pp down in SECURITY MOM. More ROLE CONFLICT AND H1N1.

Comment by William R. Cumming

April 20, 2016 @ 9:06 am

Finished SECURITY MOM and it 255 pp. Some further thoughts.

The emphasis on ROLE CONFLICT in her book does NOT IMO diminish Ms. Kayyem’s competence or contributions. A tough tough issue.
The Cumming postulate is that children need two things–first someone who love them without limitation and someone always there for them. Perhaps when the Kayyem children reach 30 we will know what was what with their rearing, perhaps not. Nature versus nuture?

MS. Kayyem through training and experience is an expert and not just a self-described one IMO. But I do wish her book provided better and more accurate information even though I dismiss many errors and omissions since she is as self-described a practioner. Perhaps if her Boston Globe articles could be collected and published it would facilitate what she learned.

E.G. FEMA was not created by Executive Order 12127 by President Carter but rather by his Reorganization Plan No.3 of 1978 [not disapproved by either House of Congress]. By OMB Determination Order effective April 1, 1979.

And I assume despite titles Ms. Kayyem employed as a non-career SES first in FEMA and then due to a statutory budget change raised to head Intergovernmental Relations for all of DHS reporting directly to the Secretary DHS. Intergovernmental relations very very important in DHS and FEMA and actually there is an often unimplemented statutory mandate to the federal Executive Branch in the Intergovernmental Relations Act of 1984.

But SECURITY MOM reveals over and over no domestic chain of command for domestic crisis civil management. And NO civil response and recovery system. The President is both Commander-In-Chief of the Armed Forces and Chief Executive for the rest.

There is NO John Woo UNITARY PRESIDENCY.

With respect to H1NI it would have been useful for Ms. Kayyem to mention the 202 Bioterrorism and Response Act that codified as law a PUBLIC HEALTH CARE EMERGENCY located as a a vested authority of HHS not DHS.

As to the 2010 Haiti Earthquake a traversty of a fedble federal efforts. The Cubans and Chinese did better. And the UN gave Haiti cholera besides as a worry and almost 9,000 additional deaths. There is still no public water supply or sewage system in all of Haiti. WOW. The legacy of the first black nation-state worldwide [1804] still colors the actions of a deeply racist United States.

As to the BP Spill with no Stafford Act declaration [same as Exxon Valdez] intergovernmental work caught the Coasties flatfooted. The NCP for Oil Spills and Hazardous Materials Releases published at Part 40 of 300 CFR [last updated 1994] was apparently a ghost document to many in DHS and federal Executive Branch leadership positions. Still not comprehensively updated to incorporate BP GOM spill lessons learned.

And the book does reveal that Ms. Kayyem brought courage, competence, and to-the-last drop of energy and efforts to her efforts on behalf of the American people.

Disclosure–never met or intereacted with Ms. Kayyem in any of her experiences or life. I first learned who she was because I followed the Belfer Center for Domestic Preparedness in their efforts and reports. In nearly 2002 she chaired a report on communications interoperability issues [still not full addressed] and a very very high quality report.

And do not get me started on how tenure leave of absences to federal positions is a Conflict-Of-Interest. The same goes to lawyers lending members of their firm to Congress and the smae for foreign nationals working for members of Congress [also Dual Citizens].

Comment by William R. Cumming

April 20, 2016 @ 1:52 pm

Review of SECURITY MOM also posted on Amazon.com!

Comment by William R. Cumming

April 21, 2016 @ 4:31 am

William Gray of hurricane prediction fame has died. See NYTimes.

Comment by William R. Cumming

April 21, 2016 @ 4:38 am

William “Bill” Mason Gray (October 9, 1929 – April 16, 2016) was Emeritus Professor of Atmospheric Science at Colorado State University (CSU), and the head of the Tropical Meteorology Project at CSU’s Department of Atmospheric Sciences. He was widely regarded as a pioneer in the science of forecasting hurricanes and one of the world’s leading experts on tropical storms. After retiring as a faculty member at CSU in 2005, Gray remained actively involved in both climate change and tropical cyclone research until his death.

Comment by William R. Cumming

April 21, 2016 @ 11:20 am

Any links to the current analysis of transportation dependency and the PAR [protective action recommendation] of evacuation?

Comment by William R. Cumming

April 21, 2016 @ 6:50 pm

Disclosure: I admininstered the NFIP subrogation litigation from 1978-1986. Houston’s current floods are entirely foreseeable IMO and not an Act of God but an Act of Man. When you build in marshes and swamps seems flood insurance a GREAT DEAL!

Reform, real reform, badly needed.

Comment by William R. Cumming

April 21, 2016 @ 6:53 pm

N.B. While she does not focus on them, having been in a cabinet organizations, Juliette Kayyem identifies at least 7 major errors in the function of EM by the White House. Many might well be solved by giving the VP a major role in EM, if not HS!

Comment by William R. Cumming

April 22, 2016 @ 2:06 am

PKEMRA 2006 [effective 3/31/2007] created a mandate for annual statutory report for ANNUAL PREPAREDNESS. 2014 report is linked at the following:

http://fas.org/irp/agency/dhs/fema/natprep-2014.pdf

Wondering about 2015 and 2016?

Comment by William R. Cumming

April 22, 2016 @ 2:14 am

Hey found [somewhat garbled] the 2015 Annual Preparedness Report
at this link:

http://fas.org/irp/agency/dhs/fema/natprep-2015.pdf

These largely contract prepared documents would be enhanched if they indicate personnel assisting in their preparation and clearance within the federal government and other levels of government. Always remember these reports are self-assessments not meeting the PKEMRA 2006 requirements.

Comment by Tom Russo

April 22, 2016 @ 4:05 pm

got it

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